{
  "document_type": "TradeFinanceBD public-source evidence registry; NOT a provider quotation",
  "title": "November 2026 LPG CP: forecast and October verified reference",
  "compiled_as_of": "2026-10-28",
  "market": "Bangladesh import price research",
  "currency": "USD",
  "unit": "metric_ton",
  "november_2026": {
    "status": "UNCONFIRMED_FORECAST",
    "publisher": "Data Energy",
    "published_on": "2026-10-23",
    "average_cp_forecast_usd_per_mt": 762,
    "propane_cp_usd_per_mt": null,
    "butane_cp_usd_per_mt": null,
    "mixture_ratio": null,
    "source": "https://www.dataenergy.com.vn/en/news/lpg-cp-forecast-112026-up-57-usdton-n150",
    "comparison_to_october_simple_mean_usd_per_mt": 57,
    "notes": "Publisher's table reports 762 as projected average. Neither separate November components nor November mixture ratio was published; cannot compute BERC 35:65 November CP."
  },
  "october_2026": {
    "status": "PUBLICLY_REPORTED_CONFIRMED",
    "propane_cp_usd_per_mt": 680,
    "butane_cp_usd_per_mt": 730,
    "simple_50_50_average_usd_per_mt": 705,
    "berc_35_65_weighted_cp_usd_per_mt": 712.5,
    "weights": {
      "propane": 0.35,
      "butane": 0.65
    },
    "method": "0.35 * 680 + 0.65 * 730",
    "sources": [
      "https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/saudi-aramco-sonatrach-raise-lpg-prices-october-2026-10-01/",
      "https://bdnews24.com/business/zkeavw7sdp",
      "https://www.tbsnews.net/economy/energy/12kg-lpg-cylinder-price-rises-tk252-tk1837-1562271"
    ]
  },
  "caveats": [
    "October producer CP is not landed CIF Chattogram.",
    "November 762 forecast is neither a confirmed Saudi Aramco CP nor a separately published propane/butane number.",
    "A 35:65 mixture value for November cannot be inferred without confirmed component prices.",
    "Price reference is not a regulatory permission or customs transaction-value decision.",
    "Original third-party content is not copied; source links, research summaries and derived arithmetic only."
  ],
  "source_registry": [
    {
      "publisher": "Data Energy",
      "title": "LPG CP Forecast 11/2026 — UP 57 USD/TON",
      "published_on": "2026-10-23",
      "kind": "independent forecast",
      "url": "https://www.dataenergy.com.vn/en/news/lpg-cp-forecast-112026-up-57-usdton-n150"
    },
    {
      "publisher": "Reuters",
      "title": "Saudi Aramco and Sonatrach raise LPG prices for October",
      "published_on": "2026-10-01",
      "kind": "news confirmation of Saudi CP October",
      "url": "https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/saudi-aramco-sonatrach-raise-lpg-prices-october-2026-10-01/"
    },
    {
      "publisher": "bdnews24",
      "title": "12kg LPG cylinder price rises Tk 252 to Tk 1,837 for October",
      "published_on": "2026-10-04",
      "kind": "reports BERC October 35:65 ratio",
      "url": "https://bdnews24.com/business/zkeavw7sdp"
    },
    {
      "publisher": "The Business Standard",
      "title": "12kg LPG cylinder price rises by Tk252 to Tk1,837",
      "published_on": "2026-10-04",
      "kind": "independent corroboration of BERC figures",
      "url": "https://www.tbsnews.net/economy/energy/12kg-lpg-cylinder-price-rises-tk252-tk1837-1562271"
    },
    {
      "publisher": "Bangladesh Energy Regulatory Commission",
      "title": "Official notice directory (October specific PDF not retrieved)",
      "published_on": null,
      "kind": "official search/navigation only; not evidence that October PDF was retrieved",
      "url": "https://berc.org.bd/pages/notices"
    }
  ],
  "november_official_status": "NOT VERIFIED AS PUBLISHED AS OF 2026-10-28"
}